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***List of variables***********************************************************
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*DV3 					Change in social benefits
*PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN 	Preference redistribution (interpolated median)
*GROWTHnolag 			Growth GDP
*UNEMPLOYNOLAG 			Unemployment
*PPP 					Per capita PPP
*ReligShare 			Religious party control
*LeftShare 				Left party control
*CRISIS2 				Economic crisis
*ELECTION 				Election following spending year
*WomenLabor 			Women’s LFP
*Over65 				Aged population
*RAI 					RAI
*prefRAIM				Preferences*RAI
*RAISELFR 				RAI self-rule
*prefRAISELFRM			Preferences*self-rule
*RAISHAREDR 			RAI shared rule
*prefSHAREDRM			Preferences*shared-rule
*KOFGLOB 				KOF globalization
*prefKOFM				Preferences*KOF
*KOFECO 				KOF eco. globalization
*prefKOFECOM			Preferences*KOFeco
*KOFPOL 				KOF pol. globalization
*prefKOFPOLM			Preferences*KOFpol
*prefredistribution		Preference redistribution (mean)
*CRISIS2				Economic crisis (alternative measure)
*DV3_LAGGED				Lagged DV
*OLDAGEWELFARE			Old-Age Benefits
*WORKINGAGEWELFARE		Working-Age Benefits
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***RESULTS MAIN TeXT***********************************************************
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***Figure 1 (+ Models Base, 1, 2, 3 Table S1)**********************************
*******************************************************************************
xtpcse DV3 PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN GROWTHnolag UNEMPLOYNOLAG PPP ReligShare ///
	LeftShare CRISIS2 ELECTION WomenLabor Over65, corr(psar1) p 

xtpcse DV3 PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN GROWTHnolag UNEMPLOYNOLAG PPP ReligShare ///
	LeftShare CRISIS2 ELECTION WomenLabor Over65  RAI prefRAIM, corr(psar1) p 
grinter PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN, inter(prefRAIM) const02(RAI) depvar(DV3) ///
	clevel(90) kden name(RAI)

xtpcse DV3 PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN GROWTHnolag UNEMPLOYNOLAG PPP ReligShare ///
	LeftShare CRISIS2 ELECTION WomenLabor Over65 RAISELFR prefRAISELFRM, ///
	corr(psar1) p 
grinter PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN, inter(prefRAISELFRM) const02(RAISELFR) ///
	depvar(DV3) clevel(90) kden name(RAIself)

xtpcse DV3 PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN GROWTHnolag UNEMPLOYNOLAG PPP ReligShare ///
	LeftShare CRISIS2 ELECTION WomenLabor Over65 RAISHAREDR prefSHAREDRM, ///
	corr(psar1) p 
grinter PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN, inter(prefSHAREDRM) const02(RAISHAREDR) ///
	depvar(DV3) clevel(90) kden name(RAIshared)

graph combine RAI RAIself RAIshared, col(2) ///
    note("Models 1-3, PCSE AR1")

*******************************************************************************
***Figure 2 (+ Models 4, 5, 6 Table S1)****************************************
*******************************************************************************
xtpcse DV3 PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN GROWTHnolag UNEMPLOYNOLAG PPP ReligShare ///
	LeftShare CRISIS2 ELECTION WomenLabor Over65 KOFGLOB prefKOFM, corr(ar1) p 
grinter PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN, inter(prefKOFM) const02(KOFGLOB) depvar(DV3) ///
	clevel(90) kden name(KOF)

xtpcse DV3 PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN GROWTHnolag UNEMPLOYNOLAG PPP ReligShare ///
	LeftShare CRISIS2 ELECTION WomenLabor Over65 KOFECO prefKOFECOM, corr(ar1) 
grinter PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN, inter(prefKOFECOM) const02(KOFECO) depvar(DV3) ///
	clevel(90) kden name(KOFeco)
	
xtpcse DV3 PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN GROWTHnolag UNEMPLOYNOLAG PPP ReligShare ///
	LeftShare CRISIS2 ELECTION WomenLabor Over65 KOFPOL prefKOFPOLM, corr(ar1) p 
grinter PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN, inter(prefKOFPOLM) const02(KOFPOL) depvar(DV3) ///
	clevel(90) kden name(KOFpol)

graph combine KOF KOFeco KOFpol, col(2) ///
    note("Models 1-3, PCSE AR1")

*******************************************************************************
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***APPENDIX/ROBUSTNESS*********************************************************
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*******************************************************************************
/*Figure S1*/
scatter PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN Year, msymbol(p) msize(tiny) xlabel(1 2 3 4 5 6, ///
	valuelabel angle (45) ) ylabel(0 0.4 0.8 1.2 1.6, angle(45)) by(Country) ///
	connect(direct)
	
*******************************************************************************
/*Figure S2*/
line RAI RAISELFR RAISHAREDR Year, msymbol(p) msize(tiny) xlabel(1 2 3 4 5 6, ///
	valuelabel angle (45) ) ylabel(0 10 20 30, angle(45)) by(Country) ///
	connect(direct)
	
*******************************************************************************
/*Figure S3*/
line KOFGLOB KOFECO KOFPOL Year, msymbol(p) msize(tiny) xlabel(1 2 3 4 5 6, ///
	valuelabel angle (45) ) ylabel(60 70 80 90, angle(45)) by(Country) ///
	connect(direct)

*******************************************************************************
/*Table S2*/
xtpcse DV3 prefredistribution GROWTHnolag UNEMPLOYNOLAG PPP ReligShare ///
	LeftShare CRISIS2 ELECTION WomenLabor Over65, corr(psar1) p 

xtpcse DV3 prefredistribution GROWTHnolag UNEMPLOYNOLAG PPP ReligShare ///
	LeftShare CRISIS2 ELECTION WomenLabor Over65  RAI prefRAI, corr(psar1) p 
grinter prefredistribution, inter(prefRAI) const02(RAI) depvar(DV3) ///
	clevel(90) kden 

xtpcse DV3 prefredistribution GROWTHnolag UNEMPLOYNOLAG PPP ReligShare ///
	LeftShare CRISIS2 ELECTION WomenLabor Over65 RAISELFR prefRAISELFR, ///
	corr(psar1) p 
grinter prefredistribution, inter(prefRAISELFR) const02(RAISELFR) ///
	depvar(DV3) clevel(90) kden 

xtpcse DV3 prefredistribution GROWTHnolag UNEMPLOYNOLAG PPP ReligShare ///
	LeftShare CRISIS2 ELECTION WomenLabor Over65 RAISHAREDR prefSHAREDR, ///
	corr(psar1) p 
grinter prefredistribution, inter(prefSHAREDR) const02(RAISHAREDR) ///
	depvar(DV3) clevel(90) kden 

xtpcse DV3 prefredistribution GROWTHnolag UNEMPLOYNOLAG PPP ReligShare ///
	LeftShare CRISIS2 ELECTION WomenLabor Over65 KOFGLOB prefKOF, corr(ar1) p 
grinter prefredistribution, inter(prefKOF) const02(KOFGLOB) depvar(DV3) ///
	clevel(90) kden 

xtpcse DV3 prefredistribution GROWTHnolag UNEMPLOYNOLAG PPP ReligShare ///
	LeftShare CRISIS2 ELECTION WomenLabor Over65 KOFECO prefKOFECO, corr(ar1) 
grinter prefredistribution, inter(prefKOFECO) const02(KOFECO) depvar(DV3) ///
	clevel(90) kden 
	
xtpcse DV3 prefredistribution GROWTHnolag UNEMPLOYNOLAG PPP ReligShare ///
	LeftShare CRISIS2 ELECTION WomenLabor Over65 KOFPOL prefKOFPOL, corr(ar1) p 
grinter prefredistribution, inter(prefKOFPOL) const02(KOFPOL) depvar(DV3) ///
	clevel(90) kden 

*******************************************************************************
/*Table S3*/
xtpcse DV3 PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN GROWTHnolag UNEMPLOYNOLAG PPP ReligShare ///
	LeftShare CRISIS2 ELECTION, corr(psar1) p 

xtpcse DV3 PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN GROWTHnolag UNEMPLOYNOLAG PPP ReligShare ///
	LeftShare CRISIS2 ELECTION RAI prefRAIM, corr(psar1) p 
grinter PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN, inter(prefRAIM) const02(RAI) depvar(DV3) ///
	clevel(90) kden 

xtpcse DV3 PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN GROWTHnolag UNEMPLOYNOLAG PPP ReligShare ///
	LeftShare CRISIS2 ELECTION RAISELFR prefRAISELFRM, corr(psar1) p 
grinter PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN, inter(prefRAISELFRM) const02(RAISELFR) ///
	depvar(DV3) clevel(90) kden 

xtpcse DV3 PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN GROWTHnolag UNEMPLOYNOLAG PPP ReligShare ///
	LeftShare CRISIS2 ELECTION RAISHAREDR prefSHAREDRM, corr(psar1) p 
grinter PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN, inter(prefSHAREDRM) const02(RAISHAREDR) ///
	depvar(DV3) clevel(90) kden 

xtpcse DV3 PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN GROWTHnolag UNEMPLOYNOLAG PPP ReligShare ///
	LeftShare CRISIS2 ELECTION KOFGLOB prefKOFM, corr(ar1) p 
grinter PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN, inter(prefKOFM) const02(KOFGLOB) depvar(DV3) ///
	clevel(90) kden 

xtpcse DV3 PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN GROWTHnolag UNEMPLOYNOLAG PPP ReligShare ///
	LeftShare CRISIS2 ELECTION KOFECO prefKOFECOM, corr(ar1) p
grinter PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN, inter(prefKOFECOM) const02(KOFECO) depvar(DV3) ///
	clevel(90) kden 
	
xtpcse DV3 PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN GROWTHnolag UNEMPLOYNOLAG PPP ReligShare ///
	LeftShare CRISIS2 ELECTION KOFPOL prefKOFPOLM, corr(ar1) p 
grinter PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN, inter(prefKOFPOLM) const02(KOFPOL) depvar(DV3) ///
	clevel(90) kden 

*******************************************************************************
/*Table S4*/
xtpcse DV3 PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN GROWTHnolag UNEMPLOYNOLAG PPP ReligShare ///
	LeftShare CRISIS2 ELECTION WomenLabor Over65 DV3_LAGGED

xtpcse DV3 PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN GROWTHnolag UNEMPLOYNOLAG PPP ReligShare ///
	LeftShare CRISIS2 ELECTION WomenLabor Over65  RAI prefRAIM DV3_LAGGED 
grinter PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN, inter(prefRAIM) const02(RAI) depvar(DV3) ///
	clevel(90) kden 

xtpcse DV3 PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN GROWTHnolag UNEMPLOYNOLAG PPP ReligShare ///
	LeftShare CRISIS2 ELECTION WomenLabor Over65 RAISELFR prefRAISELFRM DV3_LAGGED 
grinter PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN, inter(prefRAISELFRM) const02(RAISELFR) ///
	depvar(DV3) clevel(90) kden 

xtpcse DV3 PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN GROWTHnolag UNEMPLOYNOLAG PPP ReligShare ///
	LeftShare CRISIS2 ELECTION WomenLabor Over65 RAISHAREDR prefSHAREDRM ///
	DV3_LAGGED 
grinter PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN, inter(prefSHAREDRM) const02(RAISHAREDR) ///
	depvar(DV3) clevel(90) kden 

xtpcse DV3 PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN GROWTHnolag UNEMPLOYNOLAG PPP ReligShare ///
	LeftShare CRISIS2 ELECTION WomenLabor Over65 KOFGLOB prefKOFM DV3_LAGGED 
grinter PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN, inter(prefKOFM) const02(KOFGLOB) depvar(DV3) ///
	clevel(90) kden 

xtpcse DV3 PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN GROWTHnolag UNEMPLOYNOLAG PPP ReligShare ///
	LeftShare CRISIS2 ELECTION WomenLabor Over65 KOFECO prefKOFECOM DV3_LAGGED 
grinter PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN, inter(prefKOFECOM) const02(KOFECO) depvar(DV3) ///
	clevel(90) kden 
	
xtpcse DV3 PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN GROWTHnolag UNEMPLOYNOLAG PPP ReligShare ///
	LeftShare CRISIS2 ELECTION WomenLabor Over65 KOFPOL prefKOFPOLM DV3_LAGGED 
grinter PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN, inter(prefKOFPOLM) const02(KOFPOL) depvar(DV3) ///
	clevel(90) kden 

*******************************************************************************
/*Table S5*/
xtpcse OLDAGEWELFARE PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN GROWTHnolag UNEMPLOYNOLAG PPP ///
	ReligShare LeftShare CRISIS2 ELECTION WomenLabor Over65, corr(psar1) p 

xtpcse OLDAGEWELFARE PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN GROWTHnolag UNEMPLOYNOLAG PPP ///
	ReligShare LeftShare CRISIS2 ELECTION WomenLabor Over65  RAI prefRAIM, ///
		corr(psar1) p 
grinter PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN, inter(prefRAIM) const02(RAI) depvar(DV3) ///
	clevel(90) kden name(RAI2)

xtpcse OLDAGEWELFARE PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN GROWTHnolag UNEMPLOYNOLAG PPP ///
	ReligShare LeftShare CRISIS2 ELECTION WomenLabor Over65 RAISELFR ///
	prefRAISELFRM, corr(psar1) p 
grinter PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN, inter(prefRAISELFRM) const02(RAISELFR) ///
	depvar(DV3) clevel(90) kden name(RAIself2)

xtpcse OLDAGEWELFARE PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN GROWTHnolag UNEMPLOYNOLAG PPP ///
	ReligShare LeftShare CRISIS2 ELECTION WomenLabor Over65 RAISHAREDR ///
	prefSHAREDRM, corr(psar1) p 
grinter PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN, inter(prefSHAREDRM) const02(RAISHAREDR) ///
	depvar(DV3) clevel(90) kden name(RAIshared2) 

xtpcse OLDAGEWELFARE PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN GROWTHnolag UNEMPLOYNOLAG PPP ///
	ReligShare LeftShare CRISIS2 ELECTION WomenLabor Over65 KOFGLOB prefKOFM, ///
	corr(ar1) p 
grinter PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN, inter(prefKOFM) const02(KOFGLOB) depvar(DV3) ///
	clevel(90) kden name(KOF2)

xtpcse OLDAGEWELFARE PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN GROWTHnolag UNEMPLOYNOLAG PPP ///
	ReligShare LeftShare CRISIS2 ELECTION WomenLabor Over65 KOFECO ///
	prefKOFECOM, corr(ar1) p
grinter PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN, inter(prefKOFECOM) const02(KOFECO) depvar(DV3) ///
	clevel(90) kden name(KOFeco2)
	
xtpcse OLDAGEWELFARE PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN GROWTHnolag UNEMPLOYNOLAG PPP ///
	ReligShare LeftShare CRISIS2 ELECTION WomenLabor Over65 KOFPOL ///
	prefKOFPOLM, corr(ar1) p 
grinter PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN, inter(prefKOFPOLM) const02(KOFPOL) depvar(DV3) ///
	clevel(90) kden name(KOFpol2)

*******************************************************************************
/*Table S6*/
xtpcse WORKINGAGEWELFARE PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN GROWTHnolag UNEMPLOYNOLAG PPP ///
	ReligShare LeftShare CRISIS2 ELECTION WomenLabor Over65, corr(psar1) p 

xtpcse WORKINGAGEWELFARE PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN GROWTHnolag UNEMPLOYNOLAG PPP ///
	ReligShare LeftShare CRISIS2 ELECTION WomenLabor Over65  RAI prefRAIM, ///
	corr(psar1) p 
grinter PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN, inter(prefRAIM) const02(RAI) depvar(DV3) ///
	clevel(90) kden name(RAI3)

xtpcse WORKINGAGEWELFARE PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN GROWTHnolag UNEMPLOYNOLAG PPP ///
	ReligShare LeftShare CRISIS2 ELECTION WomenLabor Over65 RAISELFR ///
	prefRAISELFRM, corr(psar1) p 
grinter PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN, inter(prefRAISELFRM) const02(RAISELFR) depvar(DV3) ///
	clevel(90) kden name(RAIself3)

xtpcse WORKINGAGEWELFARE PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN GROWTHnolag UNEMPLOYNOLAG PPP ///
	ReligShare LeftShare CRISIS2 ELECTION WomenLabor Over65 RAISHAREDR ///
	prefSHAREDRM, corr(psar1) p 
grinter PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN, inter(prefSHAREDRM) const02(RAISHAREDR) ///
	depvar(DV3) clevel(90) kden name(RAIshared3)

xtpcse WORKINGAGEWELFARE PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN GROWTHnolag UNEMPLOYNOLAG PPP ///
	ReligShare LeftShare CRISIS2 ELECTION WomenLabor Over65 KOFGLOB ///
	prefKOFM, corr(ar1) p 
grinter PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN, inter(prefKOFM) const02(KOFGLOB) depvar(DV3) ///
	clevel(90) kden name(KOF3)

xtpcse WORKINGAGEWELFARE PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN GROWTHnolag UNEMPLOYNOLAG PPP ///
	ReligShare LeftShare CRISIS2 ELECTION WomenLabor Over65 KOFECO ///
	prefKOFECOM, corr(ar1) p
grinter PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN, inter(prefKOFECOM) const02(KOFECO) depvar(DV3) ///
	clevel(90) kden name(KOFeco3)
	
xtpcse WORKINGAGEWELFARE PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN GROWTHnolag UNEMPLOYNOLAG PPP ///
	ReligShare LeftShare CRISIS2 ELECTION WomenLabor Over65 KOFPOL ///
	prefKOFPOLM, corr(ar1) p 
grinter PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN, inter(prefKOFPOLM) const02(KOFPOL) ///
	depvar(DV3) clevel(90) kden name(KOFpol3)

*******************************************************************************
/*Table S7*/
xtmixed DV3 PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN GROWTHnolag UNEMPLOYNOLAG PPP ReligShare ///
	LeftShare CRISIS2 ELECTION WomenLabor Over65 ||country: , mle cluster(country) 

xtmixed DV3 PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN GROWTHnolag UNEMPLOYNOLAG PPP ReligShare ///
	LeftShare CRISIS2 ELECTION WomenLabor Over65  RAI prefRAIM ||country: , ///
	mle cluster(country)

xtmixed DV3 PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN GROWTHnolag UNEMPLOYNOLAG PPP ReligShare ///
	LeftShare CRISIS2 ELECTION WomenLabor Over65 RAISELFR prefRAISELFRM ///
	||country: , mle cluster(country)

xtmixed DV3 PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN GROWTHnolag UNEMPLOYNOLAG PPP ReligShare ///
	LeftShare CRISIS2 ELECTION WomenLabor Over65 RAISHAREDR prefSHAREDRM ///
	||country: , mle cluster(country) 

xtmixed DV3 PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN GROWTHnolag UNEMPLOYNOLAG PPP ReligShare ///
	LeftShare CRISIS2 ELECTION WomenLabor Over65 KOFGLOB prefKOFM ///
	||country: , mle cluster(country)

xtmixed DV3 PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN GROWTHnolag UNEMPLOYNOLAG PPP ReligShare ///
	LeftShare CRISIS2 ELECTION WomenLabor Over65 KOFECO prefKOFECOM ///
	||country: , mle cluster(country)
	
xtmixed DV3 PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN GROWTHnolag UNEMPLOYNOLAG PPP ReligShare ///
	LeftShare CRISIS2 ELECTION WomenLabor Over65 KOFPOL prefKOFPOLM ///
	||country: , mle cluster(country) 

*******************************************************************************
/*Table S8*/
xtreg DV3 PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN GROWTHnolag UNEMPLOYNOLAG PPP ReligShare ///
	LeftShare CRISIS2 ELECTION WomenLabor Over65, vce(cluster country) 

xtreg DV3 PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN GROWTHnolag UNEMPLOYNOLAG PPP ReligShare ///
	LeftShare CRISIS2 ELECTION WomenLabor Over65  RAI prefRAIM, ///
	vce(cluster country) 
grinter PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN, inter(prefRAIM) const02(RAI) depvar(DV3) ///
	clevel(90) kden 

xtreg DV3 PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN GROWTHnolag UNEMPLOYNOLAG PPP ReligShare ///
	LeftShare CRISIS2 ELECTION WomenLabor Over65 RAISELFR prefRAISELFRM, ///
	vce(cluster country)
grinter PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN, inter(prefRAISELFRM) const02(RAISELFR) ///
	depvar(DV3) clevel(90) kden 

xtreg DV3 PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN GROWTHnolag UNEMPLOYNOLAG PPP ReligShare ///
	LeftShare CRISIS2 ELECTION WomenLabor Over65 RAISHAREDR prefSHAREDRM, ///
	vce(cluster country) 
grinter PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN, inter(prefSHAREDRM) const02(RAISHAREDR) ///
	depvar(DV3) clevel(90) kden 

xtreg DV3 PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN GROWTHnolag UNEMPLOYNOLAG PPP ReligShare ///
	LeftShare CRISIS2 ELECTION WomenLabor Over65 KOFGLOB prefKOFM, ///
	vce(cluster country) 
grinter PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN, inter(prefKOFM) const02(KOFGLOB) depvar(DV3) ///
	clevel(90) kden 

xtreg DV3 PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN GROWTHnolag UNEMPLOYNOLAG PPP ReligShare ///
	LeftShare CRISIS2 ELECTION WomenLabor Over65 KOFECO prefKOFECOM, ///
	vce(cluster country)
grinter PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN, inter(prefKOFECOM) const02(KOFECO) depvar(DV3) ///
	clevel(90) kden 
	
xtreg DV3 PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN GROWTHnolag UNEMPLOYNOLAG PPP ReligShare ///
	LeftShare CRISIS2 ELECTION WomenLabor Over65 KOFPOL prefKOFPOLM, ///
	vce(cluster country) 
grinter PREFREDISTRIB_IMEAN, inter(prefKOFPOLM) const02(KOFPOL) depvar(DV3) ///
	clevel(90) kden 

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